Mets vs. Marlins odds, line, best bets: 2021 MLB picks, Sept. 28 predictions from proven computer model

Mets vs. Marlins odds, line, best bets: 2021 MLB picks, Sept. 28 predictions from proven computer model

The Miami Marlins and the New York Mets will begin their final series matchup of the season on Tuesday afternoon. Miami and New York match up for a doubleheader to begin the series, with the proceedings taking place at Citi Field in New York. Marcus Stroman will lead the Mets as they attempt to stop a five-game losing streak. Trevor Rogers will take the hill for the Marlins on the road, with Miami also seeking a streak-stopping win.

Caesars Sportsbook lists the Mets as -160 money line favorites, and first pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. The total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the Over-Under, is 5.5 in the latest Mets vs. Marlins odds. Before you make any MLB predictions with the Mets vs. Marlins match-up, be sure to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, is 199-180 on top-rated MLB money-line picks through 26 weeks in the 2021 season, returning almost $700. It also had a banner 2019 season, the league’s last full schedule, returning more than $1,400 on its top-rated money-line and run-line picks. Anyone following it has seen some huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Mets vs. Marlins and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Now, here are several MLB odds and betting trends for Mets vs. Marlins:

Featured Game | New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins

Why you should back the Marlins

While the Mets have a strong starter as well, Miami is sending Rogers to the mound with full confidence. Rogers has a blistering 2.67 ERA in 24 starts this season, including a 2.60 ERA on the road. He threw six shutout innings against the Mets in his only start against New York in 2021, and Rogers has 151 strikeouts in 128 innings this season. Rogers has been notably dominant against right-handed hitters (.594 OPS allowed), and he can hand the ball to a strong bullpen. 

Miami is currently No. 2 in the NL in wins above replacement among bullpens, and it has a 3.76 ERA with only 0.79 home runs allowed per nine innings. The Mets do have a big power source in Pete Alonso, but New York is dead-last in the National League in hits (1,188), with bottom-five rankings in doubles (216), home runs (168), walks (475), slugging percentage (.388) and OPS (.703) for the season.

Why you should back the Mets

New York has a strong projection in terms of their pitching against Miami’s hitting. The Mets will send 30-year-old right-hander Stroman to the mound on Tuesday afternoon, and he is enjoying a fantastic 2021 season. Stroman is tied for the MLB lead with 32 starts, and he owns a 3.00 ERA across 174 innings. The veteran has been even better at home with a 2.96 ERA this season, and Stroman has dominated the Marlins with a 2.13 ERA across three appearances. 

Stroman is walking only 2.17 batters per nine innings this season while generating nearly four strikeouts for every walk. Finally, he is one of the best in the business at generating grounders, with a 57.4 percent career groundball rate. Miami’s offense is dead-last in the National League in walks (430) and on-base percentage (.299), with below-average marks virtually across the statistical board.

How to make Mets vs. Marlins picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under the total. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model’s MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Mets vs. Marlins? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.  

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